| 요약2 |
The final goal of this study is to introduce a long term forecasting simulator for environmental loads, and investigate the correlation of influence factors of models in educational sector, presenting a flow chart system in Busan. The results are as in the following. Education sectors are classified as primary and secondary education and higher one, considering study schedules, the number of occupants and building scales. Furthermore, this model is made as a changeable model according to the area of construction and demolition rate. The causes that affect education sectors are based on demands, regional economy and agglomeration. Also, they are derived from existing researches such as statistics and literature. In addition, the attractiveness multiplier presents as each parameter that is statistics to apply to the simulator. As the result of the comparisons with simulation data and statistics, error rate of primary and secondary education and higher education are 6.6% and 15.9% respectively. The error rate of primary and secondary education is very exact within 10%, and the error rate of higher education was accurate within 20%. Thus, this study is regarded as well performed predictions for changes of long-term stock and environmental load in education sector of Busan. |